10 Jobs that will disappear-- According to Forbes

[Kabog!]

I just read today in Forbes Magazine's online edition about 10 jobs that will soon disappear. Jobs offered by call centers are one of them.

What do you think of the following?

1. grocery store cashier
2. film processor
3. CD store manager
4. unior organizer
5. encyclopedia writer
6. miner
7. construction worker
8. fighter pilot
9. call center representative
10. oil wildcatter

Please check out http://www.forbes.com/2006/05/20/cx_hc_06work_disappear_jobs_slide_9.html?thisSpeed=6000 for more details.

[blubby_90]

come to thnik of it, mas marami pa yan..
oh well, let's just all go where the wind blows us.........

[golkar]

that's probably because us companies are outsourcing these jobs abroad faster than we can say, hello?

somewhere down the line, technology would probably offer companies a more efficient way of serving its customers than having people sit on the phone waiting for their customers to call. just not in the near future though.

[RIGOR]

hmm ***** may representative pa din, most of us companies have automated features sa kanilang cust service system pero mukang mahirap tanggalin ang serbisyo na may dapat na makausap na tao sa kabila... ***** kung robot na ang sumasagot saka lang mawawala ang trabaho na iyan..

[soda_crackers]

Good luck sa mga grocery stores dito sa Pinas kung wala ng Grocery Store Cashier. Hehehe. May cashier ka na nga, dami pang shoplifters, eto pa kaya. Hehehehe

[leporidae]

I doubt supermarkets in the philippines would be willing to shell out a couple hundred dollars for a automated checkout machine when all they need to pay the checkout guy is 300 pesos a day.

[KuyaDanny]

I think construction workers will be around for a long time in the Philippines and in other developing countries. What I have seen firsthand in the last 20 years is the severe reduction in the quantity of secretaries and typists. We write our own letters, use word processing a lot, and answer our own phones.

[pro_tempore]

1. grocery store cashier = puwede.

2. film processor = ano 'to? :confused:

3. CD store manager = maaari, pero matagal pa siguro, especially in developing nations. while there are not enough laws to restrict pirated media, there must be humans who could be held liable :D

4. union organizer = good union leaders are a dying breed right now. and so are labor unions.

5. encyclopedia writer = maybe, once all our centralized sources of information become online and free. various forms of media will continue to need analysts, editors and researchers for a long time, though.

6. miner = er, buti na lang?

7. construction worker = not all construction work can be automated, but i suppose it's possible eventually?

8. fighter pilot = stealth (http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0382992/) anyone? :D

9. call center representative = possible. from what i've heard, some promising customer service AIs are already in the testing stages.

10. oil wildcatter = :confused:

[jazzy]

for the call center, matagal pa siguro yun. People still prefer to talk to people. It still the best form of customer service. Mura lang naman bayad nila sa mga pinoy e.:)

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[Krakista]

1. grocery store cashier = puwede.Replaced by the grocery store owner. :D
3. CD store manager = maaari, pero matagal pa siguro, especially in developing nations. while there are not enough laws to restrict pirated media, there must be humans who could be held liable :DWell Tower Records recently filed bankruptcy. CD stores have been replaced by cdr-king and cdr-king does not even employ managers in their stores. Just mere tinderas.
9. call center representative = possible. from what i've heard, some promising customer service AIs are already in the testing stages.I think the article is talking about call center reps in America. Outsourcing has cut their oil bill though.

[pro_tempore]

I think the article is talking about call center reps in America. Outsourcing has cut their oil bill though.

yeah, had that impression too. CSRs are already being outsourced in america and other advanced nations that big multinationals are based in.

still, speech-recognition systems are planning to break into mass market soon, and that's bound to create an impact in the job market. after the critical adjustments have been made - after 5 or so years of intensive market testing - these things could even render outsourced CSRs obsolete.

when that happens, price won't be an issue since software is after all scalable; you can easily make affordable bundles for smaller-level enterprises, like online stores or craft shops.

[onyx06]

not applicable on the Philippine setting

[SUX2BÜ]

I wonder what will happen to the embalmers.

:)

[vinzer]

i doubt call center reps will be phased out in the future, even long term. customer service is a big part of what consumers pay for. without customer service, products will not sell much (at least in G8 countries).

in no way will computer AI be advanced enough to understand English's nuances and double-meanings, not to mention context. at least, i don't see that happening in 50 years.

the article just highlights the result of multinational companies opting to hire CSRs in developing countries instead of the US because labor is cheaper there.

union leaders are on the backslide in the US since most employees there are contractualized, i guess. and it is also because almost all employees in the US are white-collar workers that they don't need to unionize.

CD store managers will be deprecated because of iTunes and the like.

film processors will be gone once everyone moves to digital photography/filmmaking.

i guess people rely more on wikipedia than buying encyclopedias, even electronic ones like encarta.

i'm not too sure that construction workers can be fully replaced (malaki nga demand nito sa US e). sabagay, meron ang US ng mga prefabricated houses, but people will still want a unique house.

i also don't think one could do away with grocery store cashiers. they can always find cheap labor for this through illegal aliens and students (US setting ito).

miners and fighter pilots will be phased out and replaced with automated ones to prevent deaths. but i feel those pilots will simply be put on the ground and would fly planes via electronic/wireless/whatever controls so i don't think they'll be out of work. quick decision-making in a sortie cannot be replaced by AI, as well as in dogfights.

lastly, i have no idea what an oil wildcatter does. haha. :)

[JENSIE_G]

Quite predictable. No surprises.

[SUX2BÜ]

lastly, i have no idea what an oil wildcatter does. haha. :)

A wildcatter is a person who does mining or drilling in places that are supposed to be useless.

:)

[Macky_EX]

1. grocery store cashier -> Automated check out counters. Mas efficient talaga kaso honesty system to kaya di uubra sa tipong undisciplined countries.
2. film processor -> digitized na kasi halos lahat ng camera meaning less or almost no processing involved. Tipong saksak mo lang digicam mo sa USB port, hehehe.
3. CD store manager -> Downloadable na yata lahat nayon or thru the net na lahat e.
4. unior organizer -> ???
5. encyclopedia writer -> same as #3.
6. miner -> yung ginagamit yata nila is yung galing na sa satellite wherein na pi-pinpoint na kung nasaan ang alin-alin dito sa lupa (tipong x-ray) so limited na ang effort sa mining plus machinery na rin halos ang nagmimina.
7. construction worker -> same as #6, machinery na rin halos lahat.
8. fighter pilot -> remote control integrated sa GPS???
9. call center representative -> Hindi yata about outsourcing to e...... kasi matagal na tong ino-automate.... tipong tatanungin kung pulse or tone ang phone mo tapos press 1 for yes or 2 for no....or 1 for checking, 2 for savings, etc. Minsan nga naka-encounter na ko na walang pine-press. Deretsahan na ang sagot sa phone na tipong just say "yes" or "no" na talaga ang sagot sa mga questions. Depende na sa sagot mo ang sagot nung machine na kausap mo..... tipong AI.
10. oil wildcatter -> ???

[water]

pero for me ang mahirap tanggalin sa equation ay pagiging isang barbero.....

I mean hairstylist ....try doing that with a machine..... 0_0

so many factors to consider....

[vinzer]

any job that involves art (explicit or otherwise) is something that is irreplaceable.

[mac_bolan00]

these are the same people who say a baloonist's job is here to stay.